Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 15.440741 17.536654 19.923524 22.866997 26.432686 30.655982 36.102857
2025-06-22 12.161414 14.617477 17.646367 21.729453 27.207190 34.482424 45.203392
2025-06-29 10.203293 12.694327 15.921853 20.529425 27.149138 36.679564 52.194113
2025-07-06 8.946562 11.428530 14.769795 19.762350 27.349709 39.048716 59.860521
2025-07-13 8.922046 11.770106 15.789841 22.153726 32.562551 50.180664 85.774465
2025-07-20 8.465939 11.432675 15.768084 22.937780 35.354865 58.022205 109.103719
2025-07-27 7.751006 10.635085 14.951534 22.310990 35.589388 61.220575 124.079468
2025-08-03 7.440631 10.403453 14.965982 23.038559 38.362780 70.131927 157.406350
2025-08-10 6.957325 9.858718 14.418704 22.706931 39.045148 74.816667 182.464951
2025-08-17 6.536504 9.374815 13.918958 22.385244 39.673277 79.557806 211.058479
2025-08-24 6.193194 8.986045 13.538119 22.227003 40.602981 85.322023 247.854276
2025-08-31 5.828119 8.534650 13.009536 21.719717 40.678161 88.927837 279.930041
2025-09-07 5.552019 8.225040 12.725024 21.705446 41.994786 96.798067 341.205722
2025-09-14 5.145411 7.671940 11.968434 20.664369 40.734597 96.866255 366.152009
2025-09-21 4.764941 7.140176 11.211147 19.541786 39.094962 95.324578 381.836866
2025-09-28 4.474681 6.745662 10.674979 18.824044 38.349717 96.480638 416.555158
2025-10-05 4.600030 7.072623 11.486518 21.059680 45.673554 128.537943 744.690754
2025-10-12 4.520421 7.032713 11.602860 21.791378 49.180063 149.207223 1080.932051
2025-10-19 4.295366 6.718754 11.165556 21.206493 48.770888 153.493614 1251.614605
2025-10-26 4.225119 6.680322 11.264312 21.885383 52.323965 178.009029 1910.502087
2025-11-02 4.056124 6.451033 10.965349 21.576008 52.732618 187.777108 2409.269559
2025-11-09 3.899675 6.236878 10.682510 21.275803 53.120090 197.921480 3078.047638
2025-11-16 3.768305 6.062835 10.469953 21.128090 54.000267 211.717352 4175.688978